VANCOUVER, BC – November 4, 2024 – After months of sluggish performance, Metro Vancouver’s housing market saw a sharp increase in buyer demand in October. Home sales surged by over 30% compared to the same month last year, marking a significant shift after sales had been tracking around 20% below the ten-year seasonal average.
According to the Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR), 2,632 residential properties were sold in the region during October 2024, representing a 31.9% jump from the 1,996 sales recorded in October 2023. While this was still 5.5% below the ten-year seasonal average of 2,784 sales, the rebound in activity signals renewed buyer interest after a prolonged period of caution.
Mortgage Rate Cuts Spur Buyer Confidence
Andrew Lis, GVR’s Director of Economics and Data Analytics, attributed the surge in sales to recent reductions in mortgage rates. “Typically, lower mortgage rates boost demand, and the strong sales numbers for October suggest that buyers may finally be reacting to more affordable borrowing costs after sitting on the sidelines for months,” Lis explained. He added that the recovery may have come as a surprise to some market watchers, but after four consecutive rate cuts by the Bank of Canada, the rebound was “only a matter of time.”
Listings and Inventory on the Rise
New listings were also on the rise in October, with 5,452 detached, attached, and apartment properties added to the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) system. This represents a 16.9% increase from the 4,664 properties listed in October 2023 and is 20% higher than the ten-year seasonal average of 4,545.
In total, there were 14,477 active listings on the MLS® in Metro Vancouver, a 24.8% jump compared to the same period last year, when 11,599 properties were listed. This figure is also 26.2% higher than the ten-year average of 11,475, giving buyers more options in an increasingly active market.
Sales-to-Listings Ratio Edges Toward Seller’s Market
The sales-to-active listings ratio for October stood at 18.8%, with notable variations by property type. Detached homes had a ratio of 13.4%, while attached homes (22.5%) and apartments (22.2%) moved closer to a seller’s market. Typically, downward pressure on prices occurs when the ratio falls below 12%, while upward price pressure builds when it surpasses 20% over several months.
“Although October’s numbers are encouraging, it’s too early to call it a full-blown trend,” Lis cautioned. “Recent data suggests that the market has been balanced, with prices softening over the past few months. However, with this uptick in sales, particularly in the attached and apartment segments, we could be approaching a seller’s market across all property types. This may signal the end of the recent period of price moderation.”
Price Trends: Modest Declines in Benchmark Prices
Despite the surge in sales, prices remained relatively stable, with modest declines recorded across most property types. The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver was $1,172,200 in October 2024, a 1.9% decrease from October 2023 and a slight 0.6% decline compared to September 2024.
Detached home sales reached 724 in October 2024, a 25.5% increase from the 577 sales in the same month last year. The benchmark price for detached homes was $2,002,900, a 0.3% increase from October 2023 but a 1% drop from September 2024.
Apartment sales soared, with 1,393 units sold, a 33.4% increase year-over-year. The benchmark price for apartment homes was $757,200, down 1.6% from October 2023 and 0.6% lower than September 2024. Attached home sales also saw impressive growth, with 501 sales representing a 40.7% increase compared to October 2023. The benchmark price for townhouses was $1,108,800, a 0.4% increase year-over-year and a 0.9% rise from the previous month.